If you respond, please state the price.
I’m asking this question because of the trajectory that GMX’s price in USD has been on in the past year. A year ago we were at $60.99, and we are now within a few pennies away from the all-time-low since coingecko began aggregating data ($11.53). When zoomed out, the chart is beginning to resemble that of most meme coins.
If your response is $0, at least be honest with the community about it. That is to say, if you are dead-set against rolling back any of the changes in an effort to course-correct, then let us know your perspective. I’m asking this on the forum rather than the chats because it allows for more long-form discussion and to better understand everyone’s point of view.
In the past year, the platform has implemented a number of major changes to its fees system, most notably the elimination of Multiplier Points (MPs) and more recently the buy-back-and-distribute (BBD) model for stakers.
In this same period of time:
- The price has sunk like a rock
- The % of esgmx vested had doubled, from 12% to as high as 24% of total esgmx (canary in the coal mine)
- Whales capitulating and moving on to greener pastures
- Massive, MASSIVE loss of fees (in $USD) for gmx holders, especially if you had MPs and were letting your fees accrue as eth/avax for long periods of time.
- If “the benefit” of abolishing MPs is decoupling from eth, then it’s happened in the worst way. Eth has maintained a relatively stable crab behavior between $1800USD to $2200USD in the past month. GMX has lost 50% of its value in the same time period.
And all of this while OI has been relatively consistent, and even with a few extra high outliers. Other projects now reference GMX as a cautionary tale regarding “the right kind” of incentivizing features.
Here are my two big fears:
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Our volume is similar to the 2022 bear year, and in that year we had MP’s to serve as an incentive for large holders to not sell. Under new bear conditions this incentive is no longer there to hold back the sell offs. Who know’s how far we will continue to drop with this demonstrably critical element no longer in play. In the 2023 bear market conditions, GMX didn’t go below $30.
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Many holders are incentivized to keep their tokens and not seek out better gains while their esgmx is being vested. In mid-July, many large-quantity gmx/esgmx holders will have completed the vesting of their trove of esgmx (recall the bullet about the % of esgmx going into vesting vaults literally doubling). This yields two problems: our year-long “faster than usual” token supply inflation, and even more importantly, that starting in mid-July there will likely be a catastrophic “race to the bottom” sell-off by those that had started vesting their esgmx the moment they had received them as part of the “MP abolition settlement”. These same parties didn’t view the APR % of fees as sufficient incentive to leave their esgmx staked rather than vested, so they are unlikely to view their newly-vested gmx that way either.
To summarize, we all come from a diverse set of backgrounds, with very different views on the markets, financial psychology, price-goals, etc. But one thing that we can all agree on, that every single person reading this sentence has in common, is that we all want the value of the GMX token to go up. So I’m not asking for us to re-introduce MPs or modify BB&D. Rather, in keeping with the theme of “incentives”, how low does the GMX price have to get before you feel there is sufficient incentive to reverse or modify some of the changes that have been made in the past year. It’s not unusual for companies to reverse course if plans don’t go as hoped. In fact it’s common, especially in retail. We all supported certain changes or were against them based on how we interpret data.
Now we have nearly a year of new data regarding how effective MPs were at incentivizing new holders and disincentivizing selling by whales. Likewise we have many months of data on the actual effectiveness of BBD with regards to price action. But I’m not asking us to go over any of this data. *The question I’m asking is: *
How low does the price of GMX have to go before you would be open to possibly change your mind regarding some of the implementations that have taken place in the past year?